Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 9 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultMekelakeya to win37% · @2.45

Double chanceEither team to win74% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score56% · fair 1.77

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals85% · fair 1.18

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.57

Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya preview and prediction

The match

Ethiopia Bunna host Mekelakeya in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT). Ethiopia Bunna are 14th with 4 points from 5 games (in the bottom half), while Mekelakeya sit 2nd on 10 points (in the top four).

Form guide

Ethiopia Bunna's last 5: DLWDD Most recently they drew with Dire Dawa Kenema 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Mekelakeya's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Adama Kenema 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Mekelakeya arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Ethiopia Bunna and 1.0 for Mekelakeya. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.

Betting angles

Win chances: Ethiopia Bunna 37%, draw 26%, Mekelakeya 37%.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 60% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Ethiopia Bunna 1–1 Mekelakeya. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ethiopia Bunna37%fair 2.70 · @2.85

Draw26%fair 3.86 · @2.80

Mekelakeya37%fair 2.70 · @2.45

2.05Expected goals

1.02Ethiopia Bunna xG

1.03Mekelakeya xG

44%Both score

34%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–114%

0–113%

1–013%

0–013%

1–27%

2–17%

From our goals model: Ethiopia Bunna 1.0 – 1.0 Mekelakeya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Mekelakeya to win	37%	2.70	2.45
Double chance	Either team to win	74%	1.35	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score	56%	1.77	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	60%	1.67	1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	66%	1.51	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	85%	1.18	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time	49%	2.03	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw	21%	4.71	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1	13%	7.57	–

Form

Ethiopia Bunna – last 6

DLWDDD

5 May	@ Dire Dawa Kenema	0–0	D
30 Apr	vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni	2–4	L
26 Apr	@ Kedus Giorgis	3–1	W
19 Apr	vs Arba Minch Kenema	1–1	D
14 Apr	@ Hadiya Hosaena	2–2	D
8 Apr	vs Sheger Ketema	1–1	D

1.5Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

83%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Mekelakeya – last 6

DWDWWD

4 May	vs Adama Kenema	0–0	D
29 Apr	@ Mebrat Hayl	1–0	W
19 Apr	vs Awassa Kenema	0–0	D
15 Apr	@ Dire Dawa Kenema	2–1	W
10 Apr	@ Sidama Bunna	3–1	W
3 Apr	vs Suhul Shire	1–1	D

1.2Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Negelle Arsi	5	3	2	0	+5	11
2	Mekelakeya	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Welayta Dicha	5	2	2	1	+6	8
4	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	5	2	2	1	0	8
5	Halaba Ketema	5	2	2	1	-4	8
6	Ethiopian Medhin	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Bahardar	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Mebrat Hayl	5	2	1	2	0	7
9	Kedus Giorgis	5	1	3	1	0	6
10	Adama Kenema	5	1	3	1	0	6
11	Awassa Kenema	4	1	2	1	0	5
12	Sheger Ketema	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Hadiya Hosaena	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Ethiopia Bunna	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Fasil Ketema	4	0	3	1	-1	3
16	Sidama Bunna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Welwalo Adigrat Uni	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Gamo Chencha	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Team

Pts

-4

-1

-1

-4

-1

-1

-2

-4

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?

On our numbers Ethiopia Bunna have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mekelakeya 37%.

How many goals will there be in Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?

Our predicted score is Ethiopia Bunna 1–1 Mekelakeya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya?

Ethiopia Bunna vs Mekelakeya (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes