Value bet: Mekelle Kenema to win @ 3.65 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKedus Giorgis to win ✓44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓63% · fair 1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.73
Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema preview and prediction
The match
Kedus Giorgis host Mekelle Kenema in the Premier League on Saturday 9 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Kedus Giorgis's last 5: LDLWD Most recently they lost to Ethiopia Nigd Bank 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Mekelle Kenema's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Arba Minch Kenema 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 1.0 for Kedus Giorgis and 0.7 for Mekelle Kenema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Value angle: Mekelle Kenema to win at 3.65 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 54% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Kedus Giorgis 1–1 Mekelle Kenema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kedus Giorgis44%fair 2.25 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.75
Mekelle Kenema32%fair 3.17 · @3.65
1.72Expected goals
0.98Kedus Giorgis xG
0.74Mekelle Kenema xG
37%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–113%
1–113%
2–09%
2–16%
From our goals model: Kedus Giorgis 1.0 – 0.7 Mekelle Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kedus Giorgis to win✓
44%
2.25
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.86
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.73
–
Form
Kedus Giorgis – last 6
LDLWDW
5 May
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–2
L
1 May
vs Sidama Bunna
0–0
D
26 Apr
vs Ethiopia Bunna
1–3
L
21 Apr
vs Adama Kenema
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
2–2
D
8 Apr
vs Mebrat Hayl
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mekelle Kenema – last 6
LDWLDL
5 May
vs Arba Minch Kenema
0–2
L
30 Apr
@ Hadiya Hosaena
1–1
D
13 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–1
W
8 Apr
@ Ethiopia Nigd Bank
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Welayta Dicha
0–0
D
10 Mar
@ Awassa Kenema
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kedus Giorgis and Mekelle Kenema.
What is the prediction for Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?
On our numbers Kedus Giorgis have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Mekelle Kenema 32%.
How many goals will there be in Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 37% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?
Our predicted score is Kedus Giorgis 1–1 Mekelle Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema?
Kedus Giorgis vs Mekelle Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Suhul Shire0