Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema prediction & analysis
51%
Footrivo pick
Not both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 1.97 · bookmaker 1.60
3/10Rating
1.60Odds
1
Value bet: Hadiya Hosaena to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAwassa Kenema to win39% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.62
Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema preview and prediction
The match
The Premier League sees Hadiya Hosaena take on Awassa Kenema on Saturday 9 May, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Hadiya Hosaena are 13th with 4 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Awassa Kenema sit 11th on 5 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hadiya Hosaena's last 5: LDDDW Most recently they lost to Welayta Dicha 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Awassa Kenema's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Sheger Ketema 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Hadiya Hosaena and 1.0 for Awassa Kenema. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 71% likely.
Value angle: Hadiya Hosaena to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Hadiya Hosaena 0–0 Awassa Kenema. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hadiya Hosaena34%fair 2.97 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.62
Awassa Kenema39%fair 2.56 · @2.30
1.88Expected goals
0.89Hadiya Hosaena xG
0.99Awassa Kenema xG
49%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: Hadiya Hosaena 0.9 – 1.0 Awassa Kenema expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Awassa Kenema to win
39%
2.56
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
51%
1.97
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
15%
6.62
–
Form
Hadiya Hosaena – last 6
LDDDWL
4 May
@ Welayta Dicha
0–1
L
30 Apr
vs Mekelle Kenema
1–1
D
19 Apr
@ Negelle Arsi
1–1
D
14 Apr
vs Ethiopia Bunna
2–2
D
9 Apr
@ Arba Minch Kenema
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Kedus Giorgis
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Awassa Kenema – last 6
DLDDLD
4 May
vs Sheger Ketema
1–1
D
29 Apr
@ Ethiopian Medhin
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Mekelakeya
0–0
D
15 Apr
vs Suhul Shire
0–0
D
9 Apr
@ Fasil Ketema
0–1
L
5 Apr
vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hadiya Hosaena and Awassa Kenema.
What is the prediction for Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?
On our numbers Hadiya Hosaena have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Awassa Kenema 39%.
How many goals will there be in Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?
Our predicted score is Hadiya Hosaena 0–0 Awassa Kenema, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema?
Hadiya Hosaena vs Awassa Kenema (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Mekelle Kenema0
Suhul Shire0