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First League · Bulgaria · National Stadium Vasil Levski
Sun 3 May 2026

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLudogorets to win40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 9.13

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets preview and prediction

The match

The First League sees CSKA Sofia take on Ludogorets on Sunday 3 May, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at National Stadium Vasil Levski. CSKA Sofia are 1st with 34 points from 14 games (top of the table), while Ludogorets sit 3rd on 30 points (in the top four).

Form guide

CSKA Sofia's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Ludogorets 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Ludogorets's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with CSKA Sofia 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

CSKA Sofia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished CSKA Sofia 0–0 Ludogorets. Across their last 2 meetings CSKA Sofia have won 1, Ludogorets 0, with 1 draw and 1.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for CSKA Sofia and 1.3 for Ludogorets. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: CSKA Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

CSKA Sofia36%fair 2.80 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Ludogorets40%fair 2.48 · @2.45
2.45Expected goals
1.18CSKA Sofia xG
1.28Ludogorets xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: CSKA Sofia 1.2 – 1.3 Ludogorets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLudogorets to win40%2.482.45
Double chanceEither team to win76%1.311.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score58%1.731.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals70%1.441.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals76%1.321.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ludogorets / FT Ludogorets22%4.50–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111%9.13–

Form

CSKA Sofia – last 6

DWDWWW
29 Aprvs Ludogorets0–0D
21 Apr@ Ludogorets2–1W
13 Aprvs Levski Sofia1–1D
8 Apr@ Montana1–0W
22 Marvs Dobrudzha2–0W
8 Marvs Lokomotiv Sofia2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Ludogorets – last 6

DLLLDW
29 Apr@ CSKA Sofia0–0D
25 Aprvs CSKA 19481–2L
21 Aprvs CSKA Sofia1–2L
15 Apr@ Arda Kardzhali0–1L
9 Aprvs Cherno More Varna0–0D
5 Aprvs CSKA 19483–0W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026CSKA Sofia v Ludogorets0–0
21 Apr 2026Ludogorets v CSKA Sofia1–2
CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1CSKA Sofia141040+2334
2Levski Sofia131021+1732
3Ludogorets13931+1530
4CSKA 194814923+1729
5Botev Plovdiv14725+223
6Arda Kardzhali14635-221
7Spartak Varna14446-1016
8Slavia Sofia14284014
9Cherno More Varna14347-813
10Dunav Ruse14338-712
11Lokomotiv Plovdiv14338-1012
12Septemvri Sofia14329-1311
13Botev Vratsa14248-1310
14Lokomotiv Sofia14167-119

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

On our numbers CSKA Sofia have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ludogorets 40%.

How many goals will there be in CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

Our predicted score is CSKA Sofia 1–1 Ludogorets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets?

CSKA Sofia vs Ludogorets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at National Stadium Vasil Levski.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.