Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultArda Kardzhali to win ✗47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.49
Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna preview and prediction
The match
Cherno More Varna travel to Arena Arda in the First League on Sunday 3 May (11:30 WAT) to face Arda Kardzhali. Arda Kardzhali are 6th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Cherno More Varna sit 9th on 13 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Arda Kardzhali's last 5: DLWLW Most recently they drew with Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Cherno More Varna's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished Cherno More Varna 0–0 Arda Kardzhali.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Arda Kardzhali and 0.9 for Cherno More Varna. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.45. Predicted score: Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Cherno More Varna. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Arda Kardzhali47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @2.95
Cherno More Varna29%fair 3.39 · @3.55
2.05Expected goals
1.20Arda Kardzhali xG
0.85Cherno More Varna xG
48%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–013%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Arda Kardzhali 1.2 – 0.9 Cherno More Varna expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
On our numbers Arda Kardzhali have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cherno More Varna 29%.
How many goals will there be in Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Our predicted score is Arda Kardzhali 1–0 Cherno More Varna, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna?
Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna (First League) kicks off on Sunday 3 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Arda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
