Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.21 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.21Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultArgentina to win ✓68% · @1.21
Double chanceArgentina or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.62
Argentina vs Iceland preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Argentina take on Iceland on Wednesday 10 June, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
Form guide
Argentina's last 3: WWW Most recently they beat Honduras 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Iceland's last 3: LDL Most recently they lost to Japan 0–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Argentina arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Argentina and 0.8 for Iceland. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Argentina 68%, draw 20%, Iceland 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 54% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Argentina to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Argentina 2–0 Iceland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Argentina68%fair 1.47 · @1.21
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @6.40
Iceland12%fair 8.58 · @12.00
3.06Expected goals
2.22Argentina xG
0.84Iceland xG
54%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Argentina 2.2 – 0.8 Iceland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Argentina to win✓
68%
1.47
1.21
Double chance
Argentina or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.55
Half-time result
Argentina ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Argentina / FT Argentina✓
45%
2.20
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.62
–
Form
Argentina – last 3
WWW
7 Jun
vs Honduras
2–0
W
1 Apr
vs Zambia
5–0
W
28 Mar
vs Mauritania
2–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Iceland – last 3
LDL
31 May
@ Japan
0–1
L
31 Mar
@ Haiti
1–1
D
26 Feb
@ Mexico
0–4
L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Argentina and Iceland.
Our pick is Argentina to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Argentina vs Iceland?
On our numbers Argentina have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Iceland 12%.
How many goals will there be in Argentina vs Iceland?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Iceland?
Our predicted score is Argentina 2–0 Iceland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Argentina vs Iceland?
Argentina vs Iceland (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Jordan-Hare Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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