England vs Costa Rica prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.50 – our chance 52% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: England 2.2 – 0.8 Costa Rica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
England are clear favourites at home with a 70% chance of winning, against 13% for Costa Rica.
England have taken 4 points from their last 3 matches (1W 1D 1L), scoring 0.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. Costa Rica have 1 points from their last 2 (0W 1D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 3.5 conceded. England come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.2 for England, 0.8 for Costa Rica). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.62 is close to our fair price of 1.64. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.50 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | England to win ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.17 |
| Double chance | England or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 2.50 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.23 | 1.15 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.65 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.62 |
| Half-time result | England ahead at half-time ✓ | 50% | 1.99 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT England / FT England ✓ | 46% | 2.19 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 12% | 8.46 | – |
Form
England – last 3
| 6 Jun | vs New Zealand | 1–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs Japan | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Mar | vs Uruguay | 1–1 | D |
Costa Rica – last 2
| 31 Mar | vs Iran | 0–5 | L |
| 27 Mar | @ Jordan | 2–2 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between England and Costa Rica.
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Nigeria1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for England vs Costa Rica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win England vs Costa Rica?
On our numbers England have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Costa Rica 13%.
How many goals will there be in England vs Costa Rica?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is England vs Costa Rica?
England vs Costa Rica (Friendlies) kicks off on Wednesday 10 June 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Inter&Co Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.