Value bet: Dundee Utd to win @ 3.20 – our chance 38% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultST Mirren to win ✗39% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗9% · fair 10.74
ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd preview and prediction
The match
ST Mirren host Dundee Utd in the Premiership on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at The SMISA Stadium. ST Mirren are 8th with 14 points from 13 games (in the bottom half), while Dundee Utd sit 6th on 17 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
ST Mirren's last 4: WDLL Most recently they beat Aberdeen 2–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Dundee Utd's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Livingston 0–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Dundee Utd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 3 March 2026, finished Dundee Utd 2–1 ST Mirren.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for ST Mirren and 1.3 for Dundee Utd. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: ST Mirren 39%, draw 23%, Dundee Utd 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Dundee Utd to win at 3.20 – 38% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ST Mirren39%fair 2.54 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.50
Dundee Utd38%fair 2.63 · @3.20
2.68Expected goals
1.35ST Mirren xG
1.32Dundee Utd xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: ST Mirren 1.4 – 1.3 Dundee Utd expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
On our numbers ST Mirren have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dundee Utd 38%.
How many goals will there be in ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
Our predicted score is ST Mirren 1–1 Dundee Utd, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd?
ST Mirren vs Dundee Utd (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at The SMISA Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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