Value bet: Aberdeen to win @ 2.74 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAberdeen to win ✗40% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Dundee vs Aberdeen preview and prediction
The match
Aberdeen travel to Dens Park in the Premiership on Sunday 17 May (14:00 WAT) to face Dundee. Dundee are 5th with 17 points from 12 games (in the top half), while Aberdeen sit 11th on 11 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Dundee's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Kilmarnock 1–3 away. They average 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded.
Aberdeen's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to ST Mirren 0–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 February 2026, finished Aberdeen 2–3 Dundee.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.3 for Dundee and 1.4 for Aberdeen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 62%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dundee 37%, draw 23%, Aberdeen 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Aberdeen to win at 2.74 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Dundee 1–1 Aberdeen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dundee37%fair 2.72 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.45
Aberdeen40%fair 2.47 · @2.74
2.66Expected goals
1.29Dundee xG
1.37Aberdeen xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dundee 1.3 – 1.4 Aberdeen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dundee vs Aberdeen?
On our numbers Dundee have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Aberdeen 40%.
How many goals will there be in Dundee vs Aberdeen?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dundee vs Aberdeen?
Our predicted score is Dundee 1–1 Aberdeen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dundee vs Aberdeen?
Dundee vs Aberdeen (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Dens Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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