Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Kilmarnock to win @ 2.40 – our chance 46% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKilmarnock to win ✓46% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Livingston vs Kilmarnock preview and prediction
The match
Livingston host Kilmarnock in the Premiership on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 14:00 (WAT) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Form guide
Livingston's last 4: DDDD Most recently they drew with Dundee Utd 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Kilmarnock's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Dundee 3–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.3 for Livingston and 1.6 for Kilmarnock. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 62% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Kilmarnock to win at 2.40 – 46% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Livingston 1–1 Kilmarnock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Livingston33%fair 3.03 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.55
Kilmarnock46%fair 2.15 · @2.40
2.95Expected goals
1.32Livingston xG
1.63Kilmarnock xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
0–27%
1–07%
From our goals model: Livingston 1.3 – 1.6 Kilmarnock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kilmarnock to win✓
46%
2.15
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.51
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kilmarnock / FT Kilmarnock✓
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.91
–
Form
Livingston – last 4
DDDD
12 May
@ Dundee Utd
0–0
D
1 May
vs Aberdeen
2–2
D
5 Apr
vs Heart Of Midlothian
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Rangers
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Kilmarnock – last 3
WDL
12 May
vs Dundee
3–1
W
21 Feb
@ Dundee Utd
1–1
D
15 Feb
vs Celtic
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Livingston and Kilmarnock.
What is the prediction for Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
On our numbers Livingston have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kilmarnock 46%.
How many goals will there be in Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
Our predicted score is Livingston 1–1 Kilmarnock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Livingston vs Kilmarnock?
Livingston vs Kilmarnock (Premiership) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at The Home of the Set Fare Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
