Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultTürkiye to win ✗52% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Türkiye vs Paraguay preview and prediction
The match
Türkiye host Paraguay in the World Cup on Saturday 20 June, with kick-off at 04:00 (WAT) at Levi's Stadium.
Form guide
Türkiye's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Australia 0–2 away. They average 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paraguay's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to USA 1–4 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Türkiye arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.4 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.8 for Türkiye and 1.2 for Paraguay. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Türkiye 52%, draw 22%, Paraguay 26%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.77 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Türkiye 1–1 Paraguay. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Türkiye52%fair 1.92 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.35
Paraguay26%fair 3.84 · @3.80
3.03Expected goals
1.82Türkiye xG
1.21Paraguay xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: Türkiye 1.8 – 1.2 Paraguay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Türkiye to win✗
52%
1.92
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.77 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Türkiye / FT Türkiye✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Form
Türkiye – last 5
LWWWW
14 Jun
@ Australia
0–2
L
6 Jun
@ Venezuela
2–1
W
1 Jun
vs FYR Macedonia
4–0
W
31 Mar
@ Kosovo
1–0
W
26 Mar
vs Romania
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Paraguay – last 4
LWLW
13 Jun
@ USA
1–4
L
5 Jun
vs Nicaragua
4–0
W
31 Mar
@ Morocco
1–2
L
27 Mar
@ Greece
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Türkiye and Paraguay.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Türkiye vs Paraguay?
On our numbers Türkiye have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Paraguay 26%.
How many goals will there be in Türkiye vs Paraguay?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
Our predicted score is Türkiye 1–1 Paraguay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Türkiye vs Paraguay?
Türkiye vs Paraguay (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Levi's Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Brazil3
Haiti0
Netherlands5
Sweden1
Germany2
Ivory Coast1