Brazil vs Haiti prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Brazil 2.2 – 0.4 Haiti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Brazil are clear favourites at home with a 78% chance of winning, against 5% for Haiti.
Brazil have taken 10 points from their last 5 matches (3W 1D 1L), scoring 2.6 and conceding 1.4 per game. Haiti have 4 points from their last 5 (1W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Brazil come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.6 goals (2.2 for Brazil, 0.4 for Haiti). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 60%, both teams to score at 49%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (18%), 1–0 (16%), 3–0 (13%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 60% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.00 is better than our fair price of 1.66, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Brazil to win ✓ | 78% | 1.28 | 1.11 |
| Double chance | Brazil or draw ✓ | 95% | 1.05 | 1.02 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.95 | 1.57 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 81% | 1.24 | 1.08 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.30 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 60% | 1.66 | 2.00 ▲ |
| Half-time result | Brazil ahead at half-time ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Brazil / FT Brazil ✓ | 53% | 1.87 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 18% | 5.63 | – |
Form
Brazil – last 5
| 13 Jun | vs Morocco | 1–1 | D |
| 6 Jun | vs Egypt | 2–1 | W |
| 31 May | vs Panama | 6–2 | W |
| 1 Apr | vs Croatia | 3–1 | W |
| 26 Mar | vs France | 1–2 | L |
Haiti – last 5
| 14 Jun | vs Scotland | 0–1 | L |
| 6 Jun | vs Peru | 1–2 | L |
| 3 Jun | vs New Zealand | 4–0 | W |
| 31 Mar | vs Iceland | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Mar | vs Tunisia | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brazil and Haiti.
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Ivory Coast1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Brazil vs Haiti?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Brazil vs Haiti?
On our numbers Brazil have a 78% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Haiti 5%.
How many goals will there be in Brazil vs Haiti?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
When is Brazil vs Haiti?
Brazil vs Haiti (World Cup) kicks off on Saturday 20 June 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Lincoln Financial Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.