Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.80
ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel preview and prediction
The match
The Ligue 1 sees ES Zarzis take on ES Sahel on Monday 4 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium. ES Zarzis are 13th with 6 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while ES Sahel sit 10th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
ES Zarzis's last 5: LDLDL Most recently they lost to AS Marsa 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
ES Sahel's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to ES Metlaoui 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
ES Sahel arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for ES Zarzis and 1.0 for ES Sahel. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Zarzis 35%, draw 27%, ES Sahel 38%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: ES Zarzis 0–0 ES Sahel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Zarzis35%fair 2.85 · @2.75
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @2.70
ES Sahel38%fair 2.65 · @2.70
1.88Expected goals
0.92ES Zarzis xG
0.97ES Sahel xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–015%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
1–27%
From our goals model: ES Zarzis 0.9 – 1.0 ES Sahel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ES Sahel to win✗
38%
2.65
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.80
–
Form
ES Zarzis – last 5
LDLDL
30 Apr
@ AS Marsa
0–1
L
23 Apr
@ ES Tunis
2–2
D
6 Mar
@ AS Soliman
0–1
L
27 Feb
vs JS Kairouanaise
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ US Monastirienne
0–3
L
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
ES Sahel – last 5
LLDWW
29 Apr
@ ES Metlaoui
0–2
L
19 Apr
@ Stade Gabesien
3–4
L
8 Mar
@ Stade Tunisien
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs AS Soliman
1–0
W
13 Feb
@ JS Kairouanaise
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Zarzis and ES Sahel.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel?
On our numbers ES Zarzis have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and ES Sahel 38%.
How many goals will there be in ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel?
Our predicted score is ES Zarzis 0–0 ES Sahel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel?
ES Zarzis vs ES Sahel (Ligue 1) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Abdessalem Kazouz Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
US Monastirienne0