US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui prediction & analysis
68%
Footrivo pick
US Monastirienne to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
7/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUS Monastirienne to win ✗68% · @1.53
Double chanceUS Monastirienne or draw ✗88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.49
US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui preview and prediction
The match
US Monastirienne host ES Metlaoui in the Ligue 1 on Monday 4 May, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.
Form guide
US Monastirienne's last 4: WWDW Most recently they beat AS Gabes 2–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
ES Metlaoui's last 5: WWDDD Most recently they beat ES Sahel 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
US Monastirienne arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.5 for US Monastirienne and 0.4 for ES Metlaoui. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: US Monastirienne 68%, draw 21%, ES Metlaoui 12%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was US Monastirienne to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.47, so there is value in it. Predicted score: US Monastirienne 1–0 ES Metlaoui. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
US Monastirienne68%fair 1.47 · @1.53
Draw21%fair 4.86 · @3.45
ES Metlaoui12%fair 8.62 · @6.40
1.92Expected goals
1.52US Monastirienne xG
0.40ES Metlaoui xG
47%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–017%
0–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: US Monastirienne 1.5 – 0.4 ES Metlaoui expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Monastirienne to win✗
68%
1.47
1.53
Double chance
US Monastirienne or draw✗
88%
1.13
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT US Monastirienne / FT US Monastirienne✗
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.49
–
Form
US Monastirienne – last 4
WWDW
29 Apr
vs AS Gabes
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Club Africain
1–0
W
28 Feb
@ CA Bizertin
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs ES Zarzis
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
ES Metlaoui – last 6
WWDDDL
29 Apr
vs ES Sahel
2–0
W
13 Apr
vs AS Marsa
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ US Ben Guerdane
0–0
D
22 Mar
vs AS Gabes
2–2
D
7 Mar
vs Olympique Béja
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Club Africain
0–5
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between US Monastirienne and ES Metlaoui.
What is the prediction for US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui?
Our pick is US Monastirienne to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui?
On our numbers US Monastirienne have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ES Metlaoui 12%.
How many goals will there be in US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui?
Our predicted score is US Monastirienne 1–0 ES Metlaoui, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui?
US Monastirienne vs ES Metlaoui (Ligue 1) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
