Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCA Bizertin to win ✗64% · @1.95
Double chanceCA Bizertin or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗67% · @1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.64
CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa preview and prediction
The match
AS Marsa travel to Stade 15 Octobre in the Ligue 1 on Monday 4 May (16:00 WAT) to face CA Bizertin. CA Bizertin are 7th with 11 points from 7 games (in the top half), while AS Marsa sit 11th on 6 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
CA Bizertin's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Olympique Béja 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
AS Marsa's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat ES Zarzis 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.4 for CA Bizertin and 0.5 for AS Marsa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: CA Bizertin 64%, draw 21%, AS Marsa 15%.
Safer route: CA Bizertin or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was CA Bizertin to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: CA Bizertin 1–0 AS Marsa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
CA Bizertin64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.00
AS Marsa15%fair 6.65 · @3.90
1.89Expected goals
1.42CA Bizertin xG
0.46AS Marsa xG
46%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–022%
2–015%
0–015%
1–110%
3–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: CA Bizertin 1.4 – 0.5 AS Marsa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CA Bizertin to win✗
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
CA Bizertin or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CA Bizertin / FT CA Bizertin✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.64
–
Form
CA Bizertin – last 5
LWWDD
30 Apr
@ Olympique Béja
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs AS Soliman
1–0
W
8 Mar
@ JS Kairouanaise
2–1
W
28 Feb
vs US Monastirienne
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ AS Gabes
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
AS Marsa – last 5
WLWLL
30 Apr
vs ES Zarzis
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ ES Metlaoui
0–1
L
3 Apr
vs Olympique Béja
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ ES Tunis
0–1
L
28 Feb
vs Stade Tunisien
0–4
L
0.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between CA Bizertin and AS Marsa.
What is the prediction for CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?
Our pick is CA Bizertin to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?
On our numbers CA Bizertin have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and AS Marsa 15%.
How many goals will there be in CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?
Our predicted score is CA Bizertin 1–0 AS Marsa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa?
CA Bizertin vs AS Marsa (Ligue 1) kicks off on Monday 4 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade 15 Octobre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
US Monastirienne0