Value bet: US Ben Guerdane to win @ 2.75 – our chance 44% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUS Ben Guerdane to win ✓44% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.53
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.25
JS Kairouanaise vs US Ben Guerdane preview and prediction
The match
JS Kairouanaise host US Ben Guerdane in the Ligue 1 on Thursday 30 April, with kick-off at 15:30 (WAT).
Form guide
JS Kairouanaise's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
US Ben Guerdane's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat AS Gabes 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.8 for JS Kairouanaise and 1.1 for US Ben Guerdane. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: JS Kairouanaise 31%, draw 25%, US Ben Guerdane 44%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.53.
Value angle: US Ben Guerdane to win at 2.75 – 44% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: JS Kairouanaise 0–1 US Ben Guerdane. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JS Kairouanaise31%fair 3.18 · @2.70
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @2.75
US Ben Guerdane44%fair 2.29 · @2.75
1.89Expected goals
0.83JS Kairouanaise xG
1.06US Ben Guerdane xG
47%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–015%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: JS Kairouanaise 0.8 – 1.1 US Ben Guerdane expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
US Ben Guerdane to win✓
44%
2.29
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.25
–
Form
JS Kairouanaise – last 6
WLDLDL
10 Apr
vs Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1–0
W
5 Apr
@ CS Sfaxien
0–3
L
22 Mar
vs CS Sfaxien
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs CA Bizertin
1–2
L
27 Feb
@ ES Zarzis
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs ES Sahel
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
US Ben Guerdane – last 6
WDLLLL
10 Apr
@ AS Gabes
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs ES Metlaoui
0–0
D
22 Mar
@ M'saken
1–4
L
8 Mar
vs Club Africain
0–1
L
27 Feb
@ Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs CS Sfaxien
0–1
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between JS Kairouanaise and US Ben Guerdane.
What is the prediction for JS Kairouanaise vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win JS Kairouanaise vs US Ben Guerdane?
On our numbers JS Kairouanaise have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and US Ben Guerdane 44%.
How many goals will there be in JS Kairouanaise vs US Ben Guerdane?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JS Kairouanaise vs US Ben Guerdane?
Our predicted score is JS Kairouanaise 0–1 US Ben Guerdane, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is JS Kairouanaise vs US Ben Guerdane?
JS Kairouanaise vs US Ben Guerdane (Ligue 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
