Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultES Tunis to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceES Tunis or draw ✓86% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.17
ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien preview and prediction
The match
CS Sfaxien travel to Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi in the Ligue 1 on Thursday 30 April (15:30 WAT) to face ES Tunis. ES Tunis are 2nd with 16 points from 7 games (in the top four), while CS Sfaxien sit 8th on 10 points (in the top half).
Form guide
ES Tunis's last 5: DWWWD Most recently they drew with ES Zarzis 2–2 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
CS Sfaxien's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Jendouba Sport 2–1 at home. They average 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.5 for ES Tunis and 0.5 for CS Sfaxien. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: ES Tunis 62%, draw 24%, CS Sfaxien 14%.
Safer route: ES Tunis or draw (86%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.55.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was ES Tunis to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: ES Tunis 1–0 CS Sfaxien. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
ES Tunis62%fair 1.61 · @1.80
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.10
CS Sfaxien14%fair 6.90 · @4.50
2.05Expected goals
1.50ES Tunis xG
0.55CS Sfaxien xG
48%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: ES Tunis 1.5 – 0.5 CS Sfaxien expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
ES Tunis to win✗
62%
1.61
1.80 ▲
Double chance
ES Tunis or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT ES Tunis / FT ES Tunis✗
37%
2.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.17
–
Form
ES Tunis – last 6
DWWWDW
23 Apr
vs ES Zarzis
2–2
D
28 Mar
@ WS Al Hamma
5–0
W
7 Mar
vs AS Marsa
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Olympique Béja
3–0
W
25 Feb
@ ES Metlaoui
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Stade Tunisien
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CS Sfaxien – last 5
WWDWW
19 Apr
vs Jendouba Sport
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs JS Kairouanaise
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ JS Kairouanaise
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs AS Gabes
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ US Ben Guerdane
1–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between ES Tunis and CS Sfaxien.
What is the prediction for ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?
Our pick is ES Tunis to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?
On our numbers ES Tunis have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CS Sfaxien 14%.
How many goals will there be in ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?
Our predicted score is ES Tunis 1–0 CS Sfaxien, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien?
ES Tunis vs CS Sfaxien (Ligue 1) kicks off on Thursday 30 April 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique Hammadi Agrebi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.