Sergipe host Serra Branca in the Serie D on Sunday 14 June, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Sergipe's last 4: LDWD Most recently they lost to Decisão 2–3 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Serra Branca's last 4: DWDL Most recently they drew with Retrô 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Sergipe and 1.1 for Serra Branca. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.15, above our fair price of 1.81, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sergipe 1–1 Serra Branca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sergipe44%fair 2.29 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.70
Serra Branca31%fair 3.18 · @3.70
2.44Expected goals
1.35Sergipe xG
1.09Serra Branca xG
55%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Sergipe 1.3 – 1.1 Serra Branca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sergipe to win✗
44%
2.29
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.33
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sergipe / FT Sergipe✗
25%
4.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.51
–
Form
Sergipe – last 4
LDWD
31 May
@ Decisão
2–3
L
17 May
@ Lagarto
1–1
D
4 May
@ Retrô
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ América SE
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Serra Branca – last 4
DWDL
31 May
vs Retrô
0–0
D
24 May
@ Decisão
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Botafogo PB
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Porto BA
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sergipe and Serra Branca.
What is the prediction for Sergipe vs Serra Branca?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Sergipe vs Serra Branca?
On our numbers Sergipe have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Serra Branca 31%.
How many goals will there be in Sergipe vs Serra Branca?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sergipe vs Serra Branca?
Our predicted score is Sergipe 1–1 Serra Branca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sergipe vs Serra Branca?
Sergipe vs Serra Branca (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 14 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
ABC1
Maguary PE0
Central SC2
Laguna1
Sousa0
America-RN2
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CSA7
Ipatinga2
Operario Ferroviario1
CRAC1
Ivinhema1
CSE0
Juazeirense1
GAS3
Manaus FC1