Serra Branca host Retrô in the Serie D on Sunday 31 May, with kick-off at 20:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Serra Branca's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Decisão 1–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Retrô's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Lagarto 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Serra Branca and 1.2 for Retrô. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 57%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 1.85, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Serra Branca 1–1 Retrô. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Serra Branca47%fair 2.14 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @2.90
Retrô30%fair 3.34 · @3.30
2.69Expected goals
1.53Serra Branca xG
1.16Retrô xG
57%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Serra Branca 1.5 – 1.2 Retrô expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Serra Branca to win✗
47%
2.14
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.76
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Serra Branca / FT Serra Branca✗
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.65
–
Form
Serra Branca – last 3
WDL
24 May
@ Decisão
1–0
W
22 Feb
@ Botafogo PB
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ Porto BA
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Retrô – last 6
DWLWDL
24 May
vs Lagarto
1–1
D
17 May
vs Decisão
2–1
W
4 May
vs Sergipe
1–3
L
30 Apr
vs America-RN
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Ferroviario
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Sport Recife
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Serra Branca and Retrô.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Serra Branca vs Retrô?
On our numbers Serra Branca have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Retrô 30%.
How many goals will there be in Serra Branca vs Retrô?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Serra Branca vs Retrô?
Our predicted score is Serra Branca 1–1 Retrô, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Serra Branca vs Retrô?
Serra Branca vs Retrô (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Galvez2
Porto Velho6
Sao Raimundo4
GAS0
IAPE1
Sampaio Correa3
Juazeirense0
Atlético Alagoinhas0
Oratório0
Imperatriz1
Brasil DE Pelotas1
Blumenau2
Brasiliense1
Luverdense1
Cianorte1
Santa Catarina3