Value bet: Luverdense to win @ 3.60 – our chance 30% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBrasiliense to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.19
Brasiliense vs Luverdense preview and prediction
The match
Luverdense travel to face Brasiliense in the Serie D on Sunday 31 May (20:00 WAT).
Form guide
Brasiliense's last 3: WLD Most recently they beat Inhumas 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Luverdense's last 4: WLLW Most recently they beat Aparecidense 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.1 for Brasiliense and 0.8 for Luverdense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Luverdense to win at 3.60 – 30% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 53% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Brasiliense 1–0 Luverdense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Brasiliense46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @2.75
Luverdense30%fair 3.35 · @3.60
1.94Expected goals
1.13Brasiliense xG
0.81Luverdense xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–014%
1–113%
0–112%
2–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Brasiliense 1.1 – 0.8 Luverdense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Brasiliense to win✗
46%
2.17
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.36
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Brasiliense / FT Brasiliense✗
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.19
–
Form
Brasiliense – last 3
WLD
24 May
vs Inhumas
1–0
W
16 May
@ Gama
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Primavera MG
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Luverdense – last 4
WLLW
24 May
vs Aparecidense
1–0
W
17 May
@ Primavera MG
0–1
L
2 May
@ Gama
0–4
L
15 Feb
@ Sport Sinop
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Brasiliense and Luverdense.
What is the prediction for Brasiliense vs Luverdense?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Brasiliense vs Luverdense?
On our numbers Brasiliense have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Luverdense 30%.
How many goals will there be in Brasiliense vs Luverdense?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Brasiliense vs Luverdense?
Our predicted score is Brasiliense 1–0 Luverdense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Brasiliense vs Luverdense?
Brasiliense vs Luverdense (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil
Galvez2
Porto Velho6
Sao Raimundo4
GAS0
IAPE1
Sampaio Correa3
Juazeirense0
Atlético Alagoinhas0
Oratório0
Imperatriz1
Brasil DE Pelotas1
Blumenau2
Cianorte1
Santa Catarina3
CSA1
Jacuipense1