Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSampaio Correa to win ✓67% · @1.53
Double chanceSampaio Correa or draw ✓86% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.84
IAPE vs Sampaio Correa preview and prediction
The match
The Serie D sees IAPE take on Sampaio Correa on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT).
Form guide
Sampaio Correa's last 3: WWL Most recently they beat Moto Club 4–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for IAPE and 1.7 for Sampaio Correa. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 45%.
Our pre-match pick was Sampaio Correa to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: IAPE 0–1 Sampaio Correa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
IAPE14%fair 7.30 · @6.00
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.30
Sampaio Correa67%fair 1.50 · @1.53
2.31Expected goals
0.58IAPE xG
1.73Sampaio Correa xG
45%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–215%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: IAPE 0.6 – 1.7 Sampaio Correa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sampaio Correa to win✓
67%
1.50
1.53
Double chance
Sampaio Correa or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Half-time result
Sampaio Correa ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sampaio Correa / FT Sampaio Correa✓
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
17%
5.84
–
Form
IAPE – last 2
DL
22 Feb
@ Maranhão
0–0
D
19 Feb
@ Santa Catarina
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sampaio Correa – last 3
WWL
24 May
vs Moto Club
4–0
W
17 May
vs Parnahyba
4–1
W
6 May
@ Moto Club
0–1
L
2.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IAPE and Sampaio Correa.
What is the prediction for IAPE vs Sampaio Correa?
Our pick is Sampaio Correa to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win IAPE vs Sampaio Correa?
On our numbers IAPE have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sampaio Correa 67%.
How many goals will there be in IAPE vs Sampaio Correa?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IAPE vs Sampaio Correa?
Our predicted score is IAPE 0–1 Sampaio Correa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is IAPE vs Sampaio Correa?
IAPE vs Sampaio Correa (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.