Value bet: Nacional AM to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNacional AM to win ✗44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Manaus FC vs Nacional AM preview and prediction
The match
Nacional AM travel to Arena da Amazonia in the Serie D on Sunday 31 May (22:00 WAT) to face Manaus FC.
Form guide
Manaus FC's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with Manauara 1–1 away. They average 1.6 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Nacional AM's last 5: LLWWW Most recently they lost to Paysandu 2–4 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Nacional AM 0–1 Manaus FC.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.9 for Manaus FC and 1.2 for Nacional AM. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Manaus FC 31%, draw 25%, Nacional AM 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Nacional AM to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 2.10, above our fair price of 1.96, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Manaus FC 1–1 Nacional AM. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Manaus FC31%fair 3.21 · @2.80
Draw25%fair 3.98 · @2.62
Nacional AM44%fair 2.29 · @2.50
2.06Expected goals
0.91Manaus FC xG
1.15Nacional AM xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–013%
1–012%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Manaus FC 0.9 – 1.2 Nacional AM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Manaus FC vs Nacional AM?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Manaus FC vs Nacional AM?
On our numbers Manaus FC have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nacional AM 44%.
How many goals will there be in Manaus FC vs Nacional AM?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Manaus FC vs Nacional AM?
Our predicted score is Manaus FC 1–1 Nacional AM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Manaus FC vs Nacional AM?
Manaus FC vs Nacional AM (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena da Amazonia.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Arena da Amazonia
Galvez2
Porto Velho6
Sao Raimundo4
GAS0
IAPE1
Sampaio Correa3
Juazeirense0
Atlético Alagoinhas0
Oratório0
Imperatriz1
Brasil DE Pelotas1
Blumenau2
Brasiliense1
Luverdense1
Cianorte1
Santa Catarina3