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Serie D · Brazil · Francisco Novelletto Neto

Sao Jose

DDLL
1–0
FT

Independiente FSJ

DLD

Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ prediction & analysis

59%
Footrivo pick

Not both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.50Odds
2

Value bet: Independiente FSJ to win @ 3.80 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultSao Jose to win ✓43% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓59% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21% · fair 4.81

Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ preview and prediction

The match

Independiente FSJ travel to Francisco Novelletto Neto in the Serie D on Sunday 31 May (23:00 WAT) to face Sao Jose.

Form guide

Sao Jose's last 4: DDLL Most recently they drew with Marcílio Dias 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Independiente FSJ's last 3: DLD Most recently they drew with Brasil DE Pelotas 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 1.1 goals: 0.6 for Sao Jose and 0.5 for Independiente FSJ. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 89% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 59% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Sao Jose 0–0 Independiente FSJ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sao Jose43%fair 2.35 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.70
Independiente FSJ32%fair 3.08 · @3.80
1.13Expected goals
0.64Sao Jose xG
0.49Independiente FSJ xG
41%Both score
11%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–032%
1–021%
0–116%
1–110%
2–07%
0–24%

From our goals model: Sao Jose 0.6 – 0.5 Independiente FSJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSao Jose to win ✓43%2.352.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.40 ▲
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓59%1.681.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓97%1.03–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓65%1.55–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓21%4.81–

Form

Sao Jose – last 4

DDLL
24 Mayvs Marcílio Dias1–1D
17 May@ Brasil DE Pelotas0–0D
23 Febvs Novo Hamburgo1–2L
15 Feb@ Novo Hamburgo2–3L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Independiente FSJ – last 3

DLD
24 Mayvs Brasil DE Pelotas0–0D
19 Mayvs Azuriz0–1L
5 Apr@ Marcílio Dias0–0D
0.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sao Jose and Independiente FSJ.

Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ head-to-head page →

More Serie D predictions

FT Galvez2 Porto Velho6 110%9.00X20%5.50270%1.22 O2.5Over 2.5 goals 71%@1.25 ✓
FT Sao Raimundo4 GAS0 167%1.53X20%3.40212%5.50 1Sao Raimundo to win 67%@1.53 ✓
FT IAPE1 Sampaio Correa3 114%6.00X20%3.30267%1.53 2Sampaio Correa to win 67%@1.53 ✓
FT Juazeirense0 Atlético Alagoinhas0 167%1.60X21%3.10212%5.50 1Juazeirense to win 67%@1.60 ✗
FT Oratório0 Imperatriz1 133%2.80X23%2.90244%2.30 GGBoth teams to score 56%@1.83 ✗
FT Brasil DE Pelotas1 Blumenau2 160%1.91X25%2.62214%4.40 1Brasil DE Pelotas to win 60%@1.91 ✗
FT Brasiliense1 Luverdense1 146%2.05X24%2.75230%3.60 NGNot both teams to score 53%@1.62 ✗
FT Cianorte1 Santa Catarina3 145%2.05X24%2.75231%3.50 GGBoth teams to score 51%@2.15 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ?

On our numbers Sao Jose have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Independiente FSJ 32%.

How many goals will there be in Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ?

We expect about 1.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 11% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ?

Our predicted score is Sao Jose 0–0 Independiente FSJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.1 goals in total.

When is Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ?

Sao Jose vs Independiente FSJ (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Francisco Novelletto Neto.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.