Decisão vs Sergipe Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 31 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultSergipe to win ✗61% · @1.95

Double chanceSergipe or draw ✗88% · @1.20

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.25

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34

Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.64

Decisão vs Sergipe preview and prediction

The match

The Serie D sees Decisão take on Sergipe on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos.

Form guide

Decisão's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Serra Branca 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

Sergipe's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Lagarto 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.

Sergipe arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.3.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.8 for Decisão and 1.9 for Sergipe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 53%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Decisão 12%, draw 28%, Sergipe 61%.
Safer route: Sergipe or draw (88%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 53% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Sergipe or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Decisão 0–1 Sergipe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Decisão12%fair 8.55 · @3.90

Draw28%fair 3.61 · @2.75

Sergipe61%fair 1.65 · @1.95

2.67Expected goals

0.78Decisão xG

1.89Sergipe xG

53%Both score

50%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

0–113%

0–212%

1–110%

1–210%

0–38%

0–07%

From our goals model: Decisão 0.8 – 1.9 Sergipe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sergipe to win ✗	61%	1.65	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Sergipe or draw ✗	88%	1.13	1.20 ▲
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	53%	1.89	2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	75%	1.34	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	50%	2.00	–
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	72%	1.39	–
Half-time result	Sergipe ahead at half-time ✗	45%	2.21	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Sergipe / FT Sergipe ✗	40%	2.47	–
Correct score	Correct score 0–1 ✗	13%	7.64	–

Form

Decisão – last 3

LLD

24 May	vs Serra Branca	0–1	L
17 May	@ Retrô	1–2	L
5 Apr	vs Lagarto	1–1	D

0.7Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Sergipe – last 3

DWD

17 May	@ Lagarto	1–1	D
4 May	@ Retrô	3–1	W
27 Feb	@ América SE	1–1	D

1.7Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

100%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Decisão vs Sergipe?

Our pick is Sergipe or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Decisão vs Sergipe?

On our numbers Decisão have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Sergipe 61%.

How many goals will there be in Decisão vs Sergipe?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Decisão vs Sergipe?

Our predicted score is Decisão 0–1 Sergipe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Decisão vs Sergipe?

Decisão vs Sergipe (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Venue Estadio Municipal Odilon Ferreira Dos Santos.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

Goals

Exact outcomes

Decisão

Sergipe

Decisão vs Sergipe prediction & analysis

Sergipe or draw