Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultRetrô to win ✓66% · @1.40
Double chanceRetrô or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.23
Retrô vs Decisão preview and prediction
The match
Decisão travel to Arena Pernambuco in the Serie D on Sunday 17 May (21:30 WAT) to face Retrô.
Form guide
Retrô's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Sergipe 1–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Retrô and 0.9 for Decisão. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Retrô 66%, draw 23%, Decisão 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Retrô to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Retrô 2–0 Decisão. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Retrô66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.00
Decisão11%fair 9.33 · @5.80
3.18Expected goals
2.28Retrô xG
0.90Decisão xG
57%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Retrô 2.3 – 0.9 Decisão expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Retrô to win✓
66%
1.51
1.40
Double chance
Retrô or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Half-time result
Retrô ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Retrô / FT Retrô✗
45%
2.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.23
–
Form
Retrô – last 6
LWDLWL
4 May
vs Sergipe
1–3
L
30 Apr
vs America-RN
2–1
W
15 Apr
@ Ferroviario
1–1
D
9 Apr
@ Sport Recife
0–3
L
24 Mar
@ Imperatriz
1–0
W
25 Feb
vs Uberlandia
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Decisão – last 1
D
5 Apr
vs Lagarto
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Retrô and Decisão.
Our pick is Retrô to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Retrô vs Decisão?
On our numbers Retrô have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Decisão 11%.
How many goals will there be in Retrô vs Decisão?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Retrô vs Decisão?
Our predicted score is Retrô 2–0 Decisão, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Retrô vs Decisão?
Retrô vs Decisão (Serie D) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Pernambuco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Arena Pernambuco
Central SC0
Maguary PE0
Atlético Alagoinhas0
Jacuipense1
America-RN5
Laguna0
Brasil DE Pelotas0
Sao Jose0
Cianorte1
Cascavel0
CRAC2
ABECAT Ouvidorense1
CSE1
CSA5
Tuna Luso2
Águia de Marabá1