Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.40Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 2.92 – our chance 59% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +73%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗59% · @2.92
Double chanceBurundi or draw ✓81% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.44
Chad vs Burundi preview and prediction
The match
The Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification sees Chad take on Burundi on Friday 27 March, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT). Chad are 4th with 3 points from 6 games, while Burundi sit 4th on 4 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Chad and 1.1 for Burundi. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Chad 19%, draw 59%, Burundi 22%.
Safer route: Burundi or draw (81%) at 1.40.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: Draw at 2.92 – 59% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Burundi or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Chad 1–1 Burundi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Chad19%fair 5.19 · @2.86
Draw59%fair 1.69 · @2.92
Burundi22%fair 4.65 · @2.52
2.16Expected goals
1.06Chad xG
1.10Burundi xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Chad 1.1 – 1.1 Burundi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
59%
1.69
2.92 ▲
Double chance
Burundi or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Burundi / FT Burundi✓
20%
4.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.44
–
Form
Chad
No recent results on record.
Burundi
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chad and Burundi.
Our pick is Burundi or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Chad vs Burundi?
On our numbers Chad have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 59% and Burundi 22%.
How many goals will there be in Chad vs Burundi?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chad vs Burundi?
Our predicted score is Chad 1–1 Burundi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Chad vs Burundi?
Chad vs Burundi (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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