America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica Mineiro to win ✓63% · @1.50
Double chanceAmerica Mineiro or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.18
America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ preview and prediction
The match
Sampaio Corrêa RJ travel to face America Mineiro in the on Thursday 16 April (00:00 WAT).
Form guide
America Mineiro's last 5: DDLLD Most recently they drew with Tombense 3–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sampaio Corrêa RJ's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Volta Redonda 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Sampaio Corrêa RJ arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for America Mineiro and 0.9 for Sampaio Corrêa RJ. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: America Mineiro 2–1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America Mineiro63%fair 1.58 · @1.50
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.60
Sampaio Corrêa RJ12%fair 8.54 · @5.50
3.17Expected goals
2.23America Mineiro xG
0.94Sampaio Corrêa RJ xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: America Mineiro 2.2 – 0.9 Sampaio Corrêa RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America Mineiro to win✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Double chance
America Mineiro or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
America Mineiro ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America Mineiro / FT America Mineiro✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.18
–
Form
America Mineiro – last 6
DDLLDD
9 Apr
@ Tombense
3–3
D
6 Apr
@ Athletic Club
1–1
D
1 Apr
vs Botafogo SP
1–2
L
29 Mar
vs Caxias
1–2
L
26 Mar
@ Novorizontino
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atletico-MG
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sampaio Corrêa RJ – last 6
DDWLWD
8 Apr
vs Volta Redonda
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ São Bernardo
2–2
D
25 Mar
vs Juventude
2–0
W
3 Mar
@ Portuguesa RJ
0–2
L
26 Feb
vs CFRJ Maricá
2–1
W
24 Feb
vs Nova Iguaçu
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America Mineiro and Sampaio Corrêa RJ.
What is the prediction for America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
On our numbers America Mineiro have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sampaio Corrêa RJ 12%.
How many goals will there be in America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
Our predicted score is America Mineiro 2–1 Sampaio Corrêa RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ?
America Mineiro vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ () kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.