Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Juventude to win @ 2.25 – our chance 49% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultJuventude to win ✗49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.90
Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc preview and prediction
The match
Juventude host Chapecoense-sc in the on Thursday 16 April, with kick-off at 01:15 (WAT) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.
Form guide
Juventude's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Caxias 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Avai 2–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for Juventude and 0.9 for Chapecoense-sc. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely.
Value angle: Juventude to win at 2.25 – 49% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Juventude 1–0 Chapecoense-sc. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Juventude49%fair 2.04 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.10
Chapecoense-sc29%fair 3.50 · @3.10
2.19Expected goals
1.30Juventude xG
0.89Chapecoense-sc xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Juventude 1.3 – 0.9 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juventude to win✗
49%
2.04
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juventude / FT Juventude✗
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.90
–
Form
Juventude – last 6
LDLLWW
8 Apr
@ Caxias
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Novorizontino
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Novorizontino
0–2
L
25 Mar
@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0–2
L
19 Mar
vs Águia de Marabá
3–0
W
6 Mar
vs Guaporé
5–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
WDLWDD
8 Apr
vs Avai
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Atletico-MG
0–4
L
26 Mar
vs São Bernardo
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Corinthians
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Gremio
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juventude and Chapecoense-sc.
What is the prediction for Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Juventude have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chapecoense-sc 29%.
How many goals will there be in Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Juventude 1–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc?
Juventude vs Chapecoense-sc () kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alfredo Jaconi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
America Mineiro2
Sampaio Corrêa RJ1
Volta Redonda3
Tombense2
Avai1
Caxias0