Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.44Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.35 – our chance 62% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +46%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAzerbaijan to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceAzerbaijan or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗7% · fair 13.65
Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone preview and prediction
The match
Azerbaijan host Sierra Leone in the on Monday 30 March, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.6 goals: 3.1 for Azerbaijan and 1.6 for Sierra Leone. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Azerbaijan 64%, draw 22%, Sierra Leone 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 2.35 – 62% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.44, above our fair price of 1.26, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Azerbaijan 3–1 Sierra Leone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Azerbaijan64%fair 1.55 · @1.70
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.30
Sierra Leone13%fair 7.46 · @4.80
4.64Expected goals
3.07Azerbaijan xG
1.56Sierra Leone xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
3–17%
2–17%
3–26%
4–16%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Azerbaijan 3.1 – 1.6 Sierra Leone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Azerbaijan to win✗
64%
1.55
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Azerbaijan or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.44 ▲
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
2.35 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.18
Half-time result
Azerbaijan ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Azerbaijan / FT Azerbaijan✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
7%
13.65
–
Form
Azerbaijan – last 1
W
27 Mar
vs St. Lucia
6–1
W
6.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Sierra Leone
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Azerbaijan and Sierra Leone.
What is the prediction for Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone?
On our numbers Azerbaijan have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sierra Leone 13%.
How many goals will there be in Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone?
Our predicted score is Azerbaijan 3–1 Sierra Leone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone?
Azerbaijan vs Sierra Leone () kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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