Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 63% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFinland to win ✗38% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.96
Cape Verde Islands vs Finland preview and prediction
The match
The sees Cape Verde Islands take on Finland on Monday 30 March, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT) at Eden Park.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.6 for Cape Verde Islands and 1.6 for Finland. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cape Verde Islands 38%, draw 24%, Finland 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.80 – 63% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.35, above our fair price of 1.31, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cape Verde Islands 1–1 Finland. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cape Verde Islands38%fair 2.65 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Finland38%fair 2.61 · @2.50
3.24Expected goals
1.61Cape Verde Islands xG
1.63Finland xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Cape Verde Islands 1.6 – 1.6 Finland expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Finland to win✗
38%
2.61
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.59
1.80 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Finland / FT Finland✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.96
–
Form
Cape Verde Islands – last 1
L
27 Mar
@ Chile
2–4
L
2.0Scored / game
4.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Finland – last 1
W
27 Mar
@ New Zealand
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cape Verde Islands and Finland.
What is the prediction for Cape Verde Islands vs Finland?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Cape Verde Islands vs Finland?
On our numbers Cape Verde Islands have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Finland 38%.
How many goals will there be in Cape Verde Islands vs Finland?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cape Verde Islands vs Finland?
Our predicted score is Cape Verde Islands 1–1 Finland, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Cape Verde Islands vs Finland?
Cape Verde Islands vs Finland () kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Eden Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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