Sport Recife host Maranhão in the Copa Do Nordeste on Thursday 16 April, with kick-off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Form guide
Sport Recife's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Retrô 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Maranhão's last 5: LDLLW Most recently they lost to Barra 0–3 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Sport Recife arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.2 for Sport Recife and 0.6 for Maranhão. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sport Recife 72%, draw 20%, Maranhão 8%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Sport Recife 2–0 Maranhão. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sport Recife72%fair 1.38 · @1.33
Draw20%fair 5.09 · @4.40
Maranhão8%fair 12.65 · @8.25
2.77Expected goals
2.17Sport Recife xG
0.60Maranhão xG
53%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%
From our goals model: Sport Recife 2.2 – 0.6 Maranhão expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sport Recife to win✓
72%
1.38
1.33
Double chance
Sport Recife or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.87
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.42
Half-time result
Sport Recife ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sport Recife / FT Sport Recife✓
49%
2.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Form
Sport Recife – last 6
WWDWWD
9 Apr
vs Retrô
3–0
W
5 Apr
@ Londrina
2–1
W
1 Apr
vs Vila Nova
1–1
D
29 Mar
@ ABC
1–0
W
25 Mar
vs Jacuipense
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ Cuiaba
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Maranhão – last 6
LDLLWD
12 Apr
@ Barra
0–3
L
8 Apr
@ Imperatriz
1–1
D
25 Mar
@ America-RN
0–2
L
12 Mar
vs Ceara
0–1
L
25 Feb
@ São Luiz
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs IAPE
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sport Recife and Maranhão.
What is the prediction for Sport Recife vs Maranhão?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sport Recife vs Maranhão?
On our numbers Sport Recife have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Maranhão 8%.
How many goals will there be in Sport Recife vs Maranhão?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sport Recife vs Maranhão?
Our predicted score is Sport Recife 2–0 Maranhão, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sport Recife vs Maranhão?
Sport Recife vs Maranhão (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Vitoria3
Piauí1
America-RN1
Fortaleza EC1