Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFortaleza EC to win ✗50% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.22
America-RN vs Fortaleza EC preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Nordeste sees America-RN take on Fortaleza EC on Thursday 16 April, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Arena das Dunas.
Form guide
America-RN's last 5: LDWDD Most recently they lost to ABC 0–3 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 5. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Fortaleza EC's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Ceara 0–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 0.8 for America-RN and 1.3 for Fortaleza EC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: America-RN 0–1 Fortaleza EC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America-RN28%fair 3.57 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.48 · @3.10
Fortaleza EC50%fair 2.01 · @2.05
2.10Expected goals
0.84America-RN xG
1.27Fortaleza EC xG
55%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–210%
1–28%
From our goals model: America-RN 0.8 – 1.3 Fortaleza EC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fortaleza EC to win✗
50%
2.01
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fortaleza EC / FT Fortaleza EC✗
27%
3.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.22
–
Form
America-RN – last 6
LDWDDW
7 Apr
vs ABC
0–3
L
30 Mar
@ Jacuipense
0–0
D
25 Mar
vs Maranhão
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs ABC
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Potiguar Mossoró
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs GAS
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fortaleza EC – last 6
LDWWLW
9 Apr
@ Ceara
0–2
L
31 Mar
vs Cuiaba
0–0
D
28 Mar
vs Imperatriz
2–1
W
25 Mar
@ Ferroviario
1–0
W
21 Mar
@ Botafogo SP
0–4
L
17 Mar
@ Nova Iguaçu
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America-RN and Fortaleza EC.
What is the prediction for America-RN vs Fortaleza EC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win America-RN vs Fortaleza EC?
On our numbers America-RN have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fortaleza EC 50%.
How many goals will there be in America-RN vs Fortaleza EC?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America-RN vs Fortaleza EC?
Our predicted score is America-RN 0–1 Fortaleza EC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is America-RN vs Fortaleza EC?
America-RN vs Fortaleza EC (Copa Do Nordeste) kicks off on Thursday 16 April 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena das Dunas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Copa Do Nordeste · Brazil · Arena das Dunas
Vitoria3
Piauí1
Sport Recife5
Maranhão0