Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 55% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBotafogo to win ✓63% · @1.43
Double chanceBotafogo or draw ✓86% · @1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓13% · fair 7.81
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc preview and prediction
The match
Botafogo host Chapecoense-sc in the Copa Do Brasil on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estádio Nilton Santos.
Form guide
Botafogo's last 5: WDWWL Most recently they beat Racing Club 3–2 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Chapecoense-sc's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Juventude 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Botafogo and 0.8 for Chapecoense-sc. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 55% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Botafogo 2–0 Chapecoense-sc. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Botafogo63%fair 1.58 · @1.43
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
Chapecoense-sc14%fair 7.22 · @7.80
2.71Expected goals
1.92Botafogo xG
0.79Chapecoense-sc xG
55%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Botafogo 1.9 – 0.8 Chapecoense-sc expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Botafogo to win✓
63%
1.58
1.43
Double chance
Botafogo or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.35
Half-time result
Botafogo ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Botafogo / FT Botafogo✗
41%
2.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
13%
7.81
–
Form
Botafogo – last 6
WDWWLL
15 Apr
@ Racing Club
3–2
W
9 Apr
vs Caracas FC
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Vasco DA Gama
2–1
W
1 Apr
vs Mirassol
3–2
W
29 Mar
@ Atletico Paranaense
1–4
L
18 Mar
@ Palmeiras
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Chapecoense-sc – last 6
DWDLWD
16 Apr
@ Juventude
0–0
D
8 Apr
vs Avai
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs Vitoria
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Atletico-MG
0–4
L
26 Mar
vs São Bernardo
2–1
W
20 Mar
vs Corinthians
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Botafogo and Chapecoense-sc.
What is the prediction for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
On our numbers Botafogo have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chapecoense-sc 14%.
How many goals will there be in Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
Our predicted score is Botafogo 2–0 Chapecoense-sc, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio Nilton Santos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sao Paulo1
Juventude0
Gremio2
Confiança0