Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSao Paulo to win ✓65% · @1.41
Double chanceSao Paulo or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
Sao Paulo vs Juventude preview and prediction
The match
The Copa Do Brasil sees Sao Paulo take on Juventude on Tuesday 21 April, kicking off at 23:15 (WAT) at MorumBIS.
Form guide
Sao Paulo's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat O'Higgins 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Juventude's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat CRB 1–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sao Paulo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.2 for Sao Paulo and 1.0 for Juventude. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Sao Paulo 65%, draw 19%, Juventude 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 56% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sao Paulo 2–1 Juventude. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sao Paulo65%fair 1.54 · @1.41
Draw19%fair 5.35 · @4.35
Juventude16%fair 6.08 · @7.60
3.19Expected goals
2.19Sao Paulo xG
1.00Juventude xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sao Paulo 2.2 – 1.0 Juventude expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sao Paulo to win✓
65%
1.54
1.41
Double chance
Sao Paulo or draw✓
84%
1.20
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.35
Half-time result
Sao Paulo ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sao Paulo / FT Sao Paulo✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Form
Sao Paulo – last 6
WWDLLW
14 Apr
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
8 Apr
@ Boston River
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ Internacional
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Palmeiras
0–1
L
19 Mar
@ Atletico-MG
0–1
L
16 Mar
@ RB Bragantino
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Juventude – last 6
WDLDLL
19 Apr
@ CRB
1–0
W
16 Apr
vs Chapecoense-sc
0–0
D
8 Apr
@ Caxias
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Novorizontino
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Novorizontino
0–2
L
25 Mar
@ Sampaio Corrêa RJ
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sao Paulo and Juventude.
What is the prediction for Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
On our numbers Sao Paulo have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Juventude 16%.
How many goals will there be in Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Our predicted score is Sao Paulo 2–1 Juventude, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Sao Paulo vs Juventude?
Sao Paulo vs Juventude (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at MorumBIS.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Botafogo1
Chapecoense-sc0
Gremio2
Confiança0