Value bet: Anderlecht to win @ 1.83 – our chance 59% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAnderlecht to win ✗59% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.31
Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen preview and prediction
The match
Anderlecht host KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 17 May, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Lotto Park. Anderlecht are 5th with 20 points from 11 games (in the top half), while KV Mechelen sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Anderlecht's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Union St. Gilloise 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
KV Mechelen's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Gent 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
KV Mechelen arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished KV Mechelen 1–0 Anderlecht.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Anderlecht and 1.0 for KV Mechelen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 60%.
Value angle: Anderlecht to win at 1.83 – 59% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Anderlecht 1–1 KV Mechelen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Anderlecht59%fair 1.69 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @3.80
KV Mechelen21%fair 4.76 · @3.85
2.85Expected goals
1.86Anderlecht xG
0.99KV Mechelen xG
60%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Anderlecht 1.9 – 1.0 KV Mechelen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?
On our numbers Anderlecht have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and KV Mechelen 21%.
How many goals will there be in Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?
Our predicted score is Anderlecht 1–1 KV Mechelen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen?
Anderlecht vs KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Lotto Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Dender2