Value bet: Union St. Gilloise to win @ 3.45 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultClub Brugge KV to win ✓47% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise preview and prediction
The match
The Jupiler Pro League sees Club Brugge KV take on Union St. Gilloise on Sunday 17 May, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Jan Breydel Stadium. Club Brugge KV are 2nd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Union St. Gilloise sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Club Brugge KV's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Gent 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.8 goals a game.
Union St. Gilloise's last 4: DDWD Most recently they drew with Anderlecht 1–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Club Brugge KV arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.5 for Club Brugge KV and 1.2 for Union St. Gilloise. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Brugge KV 47%, draw 21%, Union St. Gilloise 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Union St. Gilloise to win at 3.45 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Club Brugge KV 1–1 Union St. Gilloise. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Brugge KV47%fair 2.13 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.55
Union St. Gilloise33%fair 3.07 · @3.45
2.77Expected goals
1.54Club Brugge KV xG
1.23Union St. Gilloise xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Club Brugge KV 1.5 – 1.2 Union St. Gilloise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Club Brugge KV to win✓
47%
2.13
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.68
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Club Brugge KV / FT Club Brugge KV✓
27%
3.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.36
–
Form
Club Brugge KV – last 6
WWWDWL
26 Apr
@ Gent
2–0
W
22 Apr
vs KV Mechelen
6–1
W
6 Apr
vs Anderlecht
4–2
W
8 Mar
vs Anderlecht
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Charleroi
2–1
W
24 Feb
@ Atletico Madrid
1–4
L
2.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Union St. Gilloise – last 4
DDWD
14 May
vs Anderlecht
1–1
D
22 Apr
vs Gent
0–0
D
12 Apr
@ KV Mechelen
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ KVC Westerlo
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Club Brugge KV and Union St. Gilloise.
What is the prediction for Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
On our numbers Club Brugge KV have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Union St. Gilloise 33%.
How many goals will there be in Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
Our predicted score is Club Brugge KV 1–1 Union St. Gilloise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise?
Club Brugge KV vs Union St. Gilloise (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Jan Breydel Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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