Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20
8/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion St. Gilloise to win71% · @1.30
Double chanceUnion St. Gilloise or draw93% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–015% · fair 6.79
Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen preview and prediction
The match
The Jupiler Pro League sees Union St. Gilloise take on KV Mechelen on Sunday 10 May, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Stade Joseph Marien. Union St. Gilloise are 1st with 29 points from 11 games (top of the table), while KV Mechelen sit 11th on 12 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union St. Gilloise's last 3: DWD Most recently they drew with Gent 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
KV Mechelen's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Gent 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Union St. Gilloise arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 12 April 2026, finished KV Mechelen 0–1 Union St. Gilloise.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.1 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.6 for KV Mechelen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 46%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union St. Gilloise 71%, draw 21%, KV Mechelen 7%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Union St. Gilloise 2–0 KV Mechelen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union St. Gilloise71%fair 1.40 · @1.30
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @5.00
KV Mechelen7%fair 13.37 · @9.40
2.74Expected goals
2.13Union St. Gilloise xG
0.60KV Mechelen xG
46%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
0–06%
From our goals model: Union St. Gilloise 2.1 – 0.6 KV Mechelen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
On our numbers Union St. Gilloise have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and KV Mechelen 7%.
How many goals will there be in Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
Our predicted score is Union St. Gilloise 2–0 KV Mechelen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen?
Union St. Gilloise vs KV Mechelen (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Stade Joseph Marien.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
