Value bet: Anderlecht to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAnderlecht to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Gent vs Anderlecht preview and prediction
The match
Gent host Anderlecht in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 10 May, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Planet Group Arena. Gent are 3rd with 28 points from 11 games (in the top four), while Anderlecht sit 5th on 20 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Gent's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to KV Mechelen 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Anderlecht's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to St. Truiden 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Gent and 1.5 for Anderlecht. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 61%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gent 38%, draw 23%, Anderlecht 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Anderlecht to win at 3.00 – 39% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Gent 1–1 Anderlecht. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gent38%fair 2.65 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
Anderlecht39%fair 2.54 · @3.00
2.87Expected goals
1.42Gent xG
1.45Anderlecht xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–08%
2–26%
From our goals model: Gent 1.4 – 1.5 Anderlecht expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Anderlecht to win✗
39%
2.54
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Anderlecht / FT Anderlecht✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.79
–
Form
Gent – last 6
LLDDDW
3 May
@ KV Mechelen
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Club Brugge KV
0–2
L
22 Apr
@ Union St. Gilloise
0–0
D
19 Apr
vs St. Truiden
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs KV Mechelen
1–1
D
13 Mar
vs Zulte Waregem
2–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Anderlecht – last 6
LLLDWD
23 Apr
@ St. Truiden
0–2
L
6 Apr
@ Club Brugge KV
2–4
L
15 Mar
@ KV Mechelen
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Club Brugge KV
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ Zulte Waregem
4–2
W
15 Feb
vs RAAL La Louvière
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gent and Anderlecht.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Gent vs Anderlecht?
On our numbers Gent have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Anderlecht 39%.
How many goals will there be in Gent vs Anderlecht?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gent vs Anderlecht?
Our predicted score is Gent 1–1 Anderlecht, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Gent vs Anderlecht?
Gent vs Anderlecht (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Planet Group Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
