Value bet: Charleroi to win @ 2.75 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharleroi to win ✓42% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓11% · fair 9.46
Antwerp vs Charleroi preview and prediction
The match
Charleroi travel to Bosuilstadion in the Jupiler Pro League on Sunday 10 May (15:00 WAT) to face Antwerp. Antwerp are 13th with 11 points from 11 games (in the bottom half), while Charleroi sit 4th on 27 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Antwerp's last 5: WLLDD Most recently they beat Standard Liege 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Charleroi's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Genk 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 April 2026, finished Charleroi 2–1 Antwerp.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Antwerp and 1.4 for Charleroi. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Charleroi to win at 2.75 – 42% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Antwerp 1–1 Charleroi. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Antwerp34%fair 2.92 · @2.50
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Charleroi42%fair 2.40 · @2.75
2.55Expected goals
1.20Antwerp xG
1.35Charleroi xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Antwerp 1.2 – 1.4 Charleroi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Antwerp vs Charleroi?
On our numbers Antwerp have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Charleroi 42%.
How many goals will there be in Antwerp vs Charleroi?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Antwerp vs Charleroi?
Our predicted score is Antwerp 1–1 Charleroi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Antwerp vs Charleroi?
Antwerp vs Charleroi (Jupiler Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Bosuilstadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
