Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpain to win ✓67% · @1.22
Double chanceSpain or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.27
Spain vs Serbia preview and prediction
The match
Spain host Serbia in the Friendlies on Friday 27 March, with kick-off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.3 for Spain and 0.9 for Serbia. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Spain 67%, draw 21%, Serbia 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Spain to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Spain 2–0 Serbia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Spain67%fair 1.50 · @1.22
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @5.70
Serbia12%fair 8.31 · @13.00
3.18Expected goals
2.28Spain xG
0.90Serbia xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Spain 2.3 – 0.9 Serbia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spain to win✓
67%
1.50
1.22
Double chance
Spain or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.86
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.60
Half-time result
Spain ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spain / FT Spain✓
45%
2.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.27
–
Form
Spain
No recent results on record.
Serbia
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Spain and Serbia.
Our pick is Spain to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Spain vs Serbia?
On our numbers Spain have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Serbia 12%.
How many goals will there be in Spain vs Serbia?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs Serbia?
Our predicted score is Spain 2–0 Serbia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Spain vs Serbia?
Spain vs Serbia (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de la Ceramica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Colombia1
Croatia2
Iran1
Nigeria2
Italy U203
England U203
Russia
Mali
Nicaragua1
Austria5
Ghana1
Montenegro2
Andorra0
South Africa1
Panama1