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Friendlies · World · Riano Athletic Center

Italy U20 vs England U20 prediction & analysis

74%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
1

Value bet: Italy U20 to win @ 2.50 – our chance 45% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Quick tips for this match

ResultItaly U20 to win ✗45% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.22

Win chances

Italy U2045%fair 2.20 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
England U2033%fair 3.07 · @2.60
2.58Expected goals
1.43Italy U20 xG
1.15England U20 xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–08%

From our goals model: Italy U20 1.4 – 1.2 England U20 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Our analysis

Italy U20 hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 33% for England U20.

We expect around 2.6 goals (1.4 for Italy U20, 1.2 for England U20). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 56%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%).

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.28 is close to our fair price of 1.36. For a bigger price, Italy U20 to win at 2.50 is our value angle (45% on our numbers).

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultItaly U20 to win ✗45%2.202.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.781.70
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.391.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.911.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74%1.361.28
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Italy U20 / FT Italy U20 ✗25%3.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%9.22–

Form

Italy U20

No recent results on record.

England U20

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Italy U20 and England U20.

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Italy U20 vs England U20?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Italy U20 vs England U20?

On our numbers Italy U20 have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 22% and England U20 33%.

How many goals will there be in Italy U20 vs England U20?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

When is Italy U20 vs England U20?

Italy U20 vs England U20 (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Riano Athletic Center.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.