Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.39 – our chance 51% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMurom to win ✓67% · @1.24
Double chanceMurom or draw ✓87% · fair 1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.39
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.73
Murom vs Iskra Smolensk preview and prediction
The match
Iskra Smolensk travel to Viktor Losev Stadion in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 21 June (17:00 WAT) to face Murom. Murom are 1st with 44 points from 21 games (top of the table), while Iskra Smolensk sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 29 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Murom's last 5: LWLWW Most recently they lost to Luki-Energiya 1–2 away. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Iskra Smolensk's last 5: DDLLL Most recently they drew with Luki-Energiya 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Murom arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.9 for Murom and 0.7 for Iskra Smolensk. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.39 – 51% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Murom 1–0 Iskra Smolensk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Murom67%fair 1.50 · @1.24
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @4.45
Iskra Smolensk13%fair 7.50 · @12.25
2.53Expected goals
1.86Murom xG
0.67Iskra Smolensk xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Murom 1.9 – 0.7 Iskra Smolensk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Murom to win✓
67%
1.50
1.24
Double chance
Murom or draw✓
87%
1.15
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
2.39 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
1.90
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.33
Half-time result
Murom ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Murom / FT Murom✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.73
–
Form
Murom – last 6
LWLWWD
7 Jun
@ Luki-Energiya
1–2
L
31 May
vs Zvezda St. Petersburg
3–0
W
23 May
@ Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
10 May
@ Dinamo Vologda
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Yenisey II
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs Chertanovo Moscow
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Iskra Smolensk – last 6
DDLLLW
13 Jun
vs Luki-Energiya
1–1
D
6 Jun
@ Zvezda St. Petersburg
1–1
D
30 May
vs Torpedo Vladimir
0–1
L
24 May
@ Irkutsk
1–2
L
10 May
@ Baltika II
1–4
L
2 May
vs Yenisey II
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Murom and Iskra Smolensk.
What is the prediction for Murom vs Iskra Smolensk?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Murom vs Iskra Smolensk?
On our numbers Murom have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Iskra Smolensk 13%.
How many goals will there be in Murom vs Iskra Smolensk?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Murom vs Iskra Smolensk?
Our predicted score is Murom 1–0 Iskra Smolensk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Murom vs Iskra Smolensk?
Murom vs Iskra Smolensk (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Viktor Losev Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
