Value bet: Chertanovo Moscow to win @ 2.81 – our chance 38% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBaltika II to win ✗39% · @2.19
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.34
Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow preview and prediction
The match
Baltika II host Chertanovo Moscow in the Second League Group 2 on Sunday 21 June, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Baltika Stadium. Baltika II are 4th with 40 points from 21 games (in the top four), while Chertanovo Moscow sit 5th on 39 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Baltika II's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Kosmos Dolgoprudny 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Chertanovo Moscow's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Yenisey II 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Baltika II and 1.3 for Chertanovo Moscow. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baltika II 39%, draw 23%, Chertanovo Moscow 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.63.
Value angle: Chertanovo Moscow to win at 2.81 – 38% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.21. Predicted score: Baltika II 1–1 Chertanovo Moscow. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baltika II39%fair 2.58 · @2.19
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.34
Chertanovo Moscow38%fair 2.60 · @2.81
2.60Expected goals
1.30Baltika II xG
1.30Chertanovo Moscow xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Baltika II 1.3 – 1.3 Chertanovo Moscow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Baltika II to win✗
39%
2.58
2.19
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.63
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.21
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.89
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Baltika II / FT Baltika II✗
21%
4.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
10.34
–
Form
Baltika II – last 6
WLLWWW
14 Jun
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2–1
W
7 Jun
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
1–3
L
31 May
@ Cherepovets
0–1
L
24 May
vs Spartak Moscow 2
3–0
W
17 May
@ Tver
1–0
W
10 May
vs Iskra Smolensk
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chertanovo Moscow – last 6
WWLWDD
14 Jun
vs Yenisey II
3–1
W
31 May
@ Kosmos Dolgoprudny
3–0
W
24 May
vs Dinamo St. Petersburg
0–1
L
3 May
@ Tver
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Murom
1–1
D
4 Apr
@ Zvezda St. Petersburg
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Baltika II and Chertanovo Moscow.
What is the prediction for Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
On our numbers Baltika II have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chertanovo Moscow 38%.
How many goals will there be in Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Our predicted score is Baltika II 1–1 Chertanovo Moscow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow?
Baltika II vs Chertanovo Moscow (Second League Group 2) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Baltika Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
