Value bet: Nart Cherkessk to win @ 1.92 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNart Cherkessk to win ✗56% · @1.92
Double chanceNart Cherkessk or draw ✗78% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.83
Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba preview and prediction
The match
Nart Cherkessk host Druzhba in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stadium Nart. Nart Cherkessk are 7th with 30 points from 20 games (in the top half), while Druzhba sit 9th on 27 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nart Cherkessk's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Spartak Nalchik 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Druzhba's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Enisey 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Druzhba arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.6 for Nart Cherkessk and 0.9 for Druzhba. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Safer route: Nart Cherkessk or draw (78%) at 1.19.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.63.
Value angle: Nart Cherkessk to win at 1.92 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Nart Cherkessk 1–1 Druzhba. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nart Cherkessk56%fair 1.79 · @1.92
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Druzhba22%fair 4.62 · @3.73
2.56Expected goals
1.65Nart Cherkessk xG
0.91Druzhba xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Nart Cherkessk 1.6 – 0.9 Druzhba expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nart Cherkessk to win✗
56%
1.79
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Nart Cherkessk or draw✗
78%
1.28
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.63
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.36
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nart Cherkessk / FT Nart Cherkessk✗
33%
2.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.83
–
Form
Nart Cherkessk – last 6
WLLLLW
5 Sep
@ Spartak Nalchik
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Kyzyltash
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Rubin Yalta
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Shahter Taganrog
2–3
L
11 Aug
vs Dinamo Stavropol
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs FK Chayka 2
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Druzhba – last 6
DWLWDD
9 Sep
vs Enisey
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Angust Nazran
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Rubin Yalta
1–4
L
26 Aug
vs Izberbash
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Kyzyltash
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ FK Chayka 2
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nart Cherkessk and Druzhba.
What is the prediction for Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba?
On our numbers Nart Cherkessk have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Druzhba 22%.
How many goals will there be in Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba?
Our predicted score is Nart Cherkessk 1–1 Druzhba, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba?
Nart Cherkessk vs Druzhba (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadium Nart.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
