Value bet: Angust Nazran to win @ 3.47 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSpartak Nalchik to win ✓45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.10
Angust Nazran vs Spartak Nalchik preview and prediction
The match
Angust Nazran host Spartak Nalchik in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). Angust Nazran are 13th with 16 points from 20 games (in the bottom half), while Spartak Nalchik sit 8th on 28 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Angust Nazran's last 5: LLDDD Most recently they lost to Druzhba 0–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Spartak Nalchik's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Nart Cherkessk 0–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.1 for Angust Nazran and 1.3 for Spartak Nalchik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 59%.
Value angle: Angust Nazran to win at 3.47 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Angust Nazran 1–1 Spartak Nalchik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Angust Nazran33%fair 3.04 · @3.47
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.20
Spartak Nalchik45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
2.36Expected goals
1.05Angust Nazran xG
1.30Spartak Nalchik xG
59%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Angust Nazran 1.1 – 1.3 Spartak Nalchik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Spartak Nalchik to win✓
45%
2.21
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Spartak Nalchik / FT Spartak Nalchik✗
24%
4.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.10
–
Form
Angust Nazran – last 6
LLDDDL
5 Sep
@ Druzhba
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Sevastopol
0–1
L
15 Aug
@ Rostov II
0–0
D
12 Aug
vs Druzhba
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Lugansk
0–0
D
1 Aug
@ Rubin Yalta
2–3
L
0.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Spartak Nalchik – last 6
LLLDDL
5 Sep
vs Nart Cherkessk
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Sevastopol
0–1
L
26 Aug
@ Volgar Astrakhan
0–3
L
16 Aug
@ Lugansk
2–2
D
13 Aug
vs Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3–3
D
8 Aug
vs Rostov II
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Angust Nazran and Spartak Nalchik.
What is the prediction for Angust Nazran vs Spartak Nalchik?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Angust Nazran vs Spartak Nalchik?
On our numbers Angust Nazran have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Spartak Nalchik 45%.
How many goals will there be in Angust Nazran vs Spartak Nalchik?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Angust Nazran vs Spartak Nalchik?
Our predicted score is Angust Nazran 1–1 Spartak Nalchik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Angust Nazran vs Spartak Nalchik?
Angust Nazran vs Spartak Nalchik (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
