Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPobeda to win ✓60% · @1.57
Double chancePobeda or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.14
Pobeda vs Astrakhan preview and prediction
The match
Astrakhan travel to Stadion Spartak in the Second League Group 1 on Saturday 12 September (13:30 WAT) to face Pobeda. Pobeda are 5th with 33 points from 20 games (in the top half), while Astrakhan sit 11th on 20 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pobeda's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Izberbash 2–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Astrakhan's last 5: DLLDW Most recently they drew with Dynamo Makhachkala II 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Pobeda arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.1 for Pobeda and 1.1 for Astrakhan. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pobeda 60%, draw 21%, Astrakhan 18%.
Safer route: Pobeda or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.42.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Pobeda 2–1 Astrakhan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pobeda60%fair 1.65 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.30
Astrakhan18%fair 5.41 · @4.35
3.24Expected goals
2.13Pobeda xG
1.10Astrakhan xG
66%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Pobeda 2.1 – 1.1 Astrakhan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pobeda to win✓
60%
1.65
1.57
Double chance
Pobeda or draw✓
82%
1.23
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.10
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
1.80
Half-time result
Pobeda ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pobeda / FT Pobeda✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.14
–
Form
Pobeda – last 6
WLWLLW
5 Sep
@ Izberbash
2–1
W
29 Aug
@ Rostov II
0–4
L
22 Aug
vs Lugansk
3–0
W
12 Aug
@ Volgar Astrakhan
0–2
L
8 Aug
vs Sevastopol
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ FK Chayka 2
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Astrakhan – last 6
DLLDWD
5 Sep
vs Dynamo Makhachkala II
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Lugansk
0–4
L
26 Aug
@ Dinamo Stavropol
0–1
L
22 Aug
vs Rostov II
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Sevastopol
4–3
W
12 Aug
vs Mashuk-KMV
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pobeda and Astrakhan.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Pobeda vs Astrakhan?
On our numbers Pobeda have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Astrakhan 18%.
How many goals will there be in Pobeda vs Astrakhan?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pobeda vs Astrakhan?
Our predicted score is Pobeda 2–1 Astrakhan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Pobeda vs Astrakhan?
Pobeda vs Astrakhan (Second League Group 1) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Spartak.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
