Value bet: XV de Jau to win @ 2.50 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultXV de Jau to win44% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.21
Rio Claro vs XV de Jau preview and prediction
The match
XV de Jau travel to face Rio Claro in the Paulista A3 on Saturday 28 March (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
Rio Claro's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Francana 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
XV de Jau's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Marília 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
XV de Jau arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 11 March 2026, finished Rio Claro 0–1 XV de Jau.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Rio Claro and 1.2 for XV de Jau. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Rio Claro 34%, draw 22%, XV de Jau 44%.
Value angle: XV de Jau to win at 2.50 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Rio Claro 0–1 XV de Jau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rio Claro34%fair 2.98 · @2.60
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.00
XV de Jau44%fair 2.27 · @2.50
2.13Expected goals
0.96Rio Claro xG
1.17XV de Jau xG
45%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Rio Claro 1.0 – 1.2 XV de Jau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?
On our numbers Rio Claro have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and XV de Jau 44%.
How many goals will there be in Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?
Our predicted score is Rio Claro 0–1 XV de Jau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Rio Claro vs XV de Jau?
Rio Claro vs XV de Jau (Paulista A3) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.