Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortuguesa Santista to win ✗38% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.11
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista preview and prediction
The match
Portuguesa Santista travel to face Paulista in the Paulista A3 on Saturday 28 March (23:00 WAT).
Form guide
Paulista's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Uniao Barbarense 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Portuguesa Santista's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat EC São Bernardo 3–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portuguesa Santista arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Paulista and 1.1 for Portuguesa Santista. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Paulista 1–1 Portuguesa Santista. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Paulista37%fair 2.72 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @2.90
Portuguesa Santista38%fair 2.66 · @2.70
2.19Expected goals
1.09Paulista xG
1.10Portuguesa Santista xG
46%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Paulista 1.1 – 1.1 Portuguesa Santista expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa Santista to win✗
38%
2.66
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.57
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa Santista / FT Portuguesa Santista✗
20%
4.97
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.11
–
Form
Paulista – last 6
DDDLLW
11 Mar
@ Uniao Barbarense
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Bandeirante SP
0–0
D
1 Mar
vs Francana
2–2
D
25 Feb
@ Rio Preto
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs EC São Bernardo
0–1
L
15 Feb
@ XV de Jau
2–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Portuguesa Santista – last 6
WWWLWW
15 Mar
@ EC São Bernardo
3–0
W
12 Mar
vs Rio Preto
1–0
W
8 Mar
vs Francana
1–0
W
4 Mar
@ União São João
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Catanduva
3–1
W
25 Feb
@ XV de Jau
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paulista and Portuguesa Santista.
What is the prediction for Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista?
On our numbers Paulista have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Portuguesa Santista 38%.
How many goals will there be in Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista?
Our predicted score is Paulista 1–1 Portuguesa Santista, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista?
Paulista vs Portuguesa Santista (Paulista A3) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
EC São Bernardo
Marília
Rio Claro
XV de Jau
Uniao Barbarense
Rio Preto