Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–113% · fair 7.58
EC São Bernardo vs Marília preview and prediction
The match
Marília travel to face EC São Bernardo in the Paulista A3 on Saturday 28 March (19:00 WAT).
Form guide
EC São Bernardo's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Portuguesa Santista 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Marília's last 4: LWDD Most recently they lost to XV de Jau 0–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for EC São Bernardo and 1.2 for Marília. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: EC São Bernardo 34%, draw 22%, Marília 43%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: EC São Bernardo 1–1 Marília. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
EC São Bernardo34%fair 2.91 · @2.80
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.00
Marília43%fair 2.31 · @2.30
2.20Expected goals
1.01EC São Bernardo xG
1.19Marília xG
46%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: EC São Bernardo 1.0 – 1.2 Marília expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Marília to win
43%
2.31
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
62%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Marília / FT Marília
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
13%
7.58
–
Form
EC São Bernardo – last 6
LDWWLL
15 Mar
vs Portuguesa Santista
0–3
L
12 Mar
@ Bandeirante SP
2–2
D
8 Mar
@ Itapirense
3–0
W
4 Mar
vs Rio Branco SP
4–0
W
1 Mar
@ Rio Claro
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Uniao Barbarense
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Marília – last 4
LWDD
15 Mar
@ XV de Jau
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs USAC
2–0
W
4 Mar
vs Rio Claro
1–1
D
25 Feb
@ Catanduva
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between EC São Bernardo and Marília.
What is the prediction for EC São Bernardo vs Marília?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win EC São Bernardo vs Marília?
On our numbers EC São Bernardo have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Marília 43%.
How many goals will there be in EC São Bernardo vs Marília?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for EC São Bernardo vs Marília?
Our predicted score is EC São Bernardo 1–1 Marília, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is EC São Bernardo vs Marília?
EC São Bernardo vs Marília (Paulista A3) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Paulista A3 · Brazil
Rio Claro
XV de Jau
Uniao Barbarense
Rio Preto
Paulista2
Portuguesa Santista1