Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Platense to win @ 3.75 – our chance 37% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +39%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Fe to win ✓38% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.33
Santa Fe vs Platense preview and prediction
The match
Santa Fe host Platense in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on Wednesday 20 May, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. Santa Fe are 3rd with 8 points from 6 games, while Platense sit 2nd on 10 points. Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Santa Fe's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Junior 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Platense's last 5: DLWLL Most recently they drew with Penarol 1–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Platense 2–1 Santa Fe.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Santa Fe and 1.1 for Platense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 37%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Santa Fe 38%, draw 25%, Platense 37%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Platense to win at 3.75 – 37% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Santa Fe 1–1 Platense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Santa Fe38%fair 2.66 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.93 · @3.05
Platense37%fair 2.70 · @3.75
2.24Expected goals
1.13Santa Fe xG
1.11Platense xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 1.1 – 1.1 Platense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Santa Fe vs Platense?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Platense 37%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs Platense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs Platense?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–1 Platense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs Platense?
Santa Fe vs Platense (CONMEBOL Libertadores) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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